Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal St. Fullerton
Big West
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#163
Expected Predictive Rating+0.9#157
Pace73.4#49
Improvement+1.4#112

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#67
Improvement+2.5#58

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#276
Improvement-1.1#218
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 18, 2011 326   Nicholls St. W 73-63 88%     1 - 0 -2.6 -13.4 +10.4
  Nov 19, 2011 198   @ Louisiana W 69-63 46%     2 - 0 +7.5 -4.1 +11.1
  Nov 20, 2011 325   Houston Baptist L 83-88 88%     2 - 1 -17.6 +0.1 -17.4
  Nov 26, 2011 251   Cal St. Bakersfield L 66-73 80%     2 - 2 -15.7 -17.5 +2.3
  Dec 01, 2011 9   @ Wichita St. L 60-75 6%     2 - 3 +3.5 -10.5 +15.2
  Dec 03, 2011 307   @ SIU Edwardsville W 79-57 75%     3 - 3 +15.5 +8.1 +8.9
  Dec 07, 2011 296   @ Utah W 81-50 70%     4 - 3 +26.1 +17.2 +12.6
  Dec 11, 2011 213   Eastern Washington W 91-76 73%     5 - 3 +8.9 +10.9 -2.6
  Dec 22, 2011 207   Portland St. W 92-86 72%     6 - 3 +0.2 +4.7 -4.9
  Dec 29, 2011 322   UC Davis W 65-64 93%     7 - 3 1 - 0 -14.7 -8.0 -6.6
  Jan 02, 2012 271   Pacific W 78-73 83%     8 - 3 2 - 0 -4.7 +4.4 -8.8
  Jan 05, 2012 110   @ UC Santa Barbara L 64-77 25%     8 - 4 2 - 1 -5.5 -7.2 +1.7
  Jan 07, 2012 172   @ Cal Poly L 67-73 40%     8 - 5 2 - 2 -2.9 -2.7 -0.5
  Jan 14, 2012 251   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 65-67 59%     8 - 6 -3.9 -12.0 +8.1
  Jan 18, 2012 268   UC Riverside W 72-61 83%     9 - 6 3 - 2 +1.4 +2.9 -1.0
  Jan 21, 2012 241   @ UC Irvine W 92-84 56%     10 - 6 4 - 2 +6.8 +13.6 -7.3
  Jan 26, 2012 305   @ Cal St. Northridge W 70-68 74%     11 - 6 5 - 2 -4.3 -3.4 -0.7
  Jan 28, 2012 39   @ Long Beach St. L 61-75 12%     11 - 7 5 - 3 -0.6 -7.8 +7.7
  Feb 02, 2012 172   Cal Poly W 83-61 65%     12 - 7 6 - 3 +18.3 +12.1 +7.5
  Feb 04, 2012 110   UC Santa Barbara W 99-86 49%     13 - 7 7 - 3 +13.7 +22.0 -8.5
  Feb 09, 2012 241   UC Irvine W 100-94 79%     14 - 7 8 - 3 -2.0 +14.5 -17.0
  Feb 15, 2012 268   @ UC Riverside W 77-64 62%     15 - 7 9 - 3 +10.2 +5.5 +4.3
  Feb 18, 2012 292   Montana St. W 80-66 86%     16 - 7 +2.6 +3.0 -0.1
  Feb 23, 2012 271   @ Pacific W 69-68 62%     17 - 7 10 - 3 -1.9 -1.3 -0.5
  Feb 25, 2012 322   @ UC Davis L 75-78 81%     17 - 8 10 - 4 -11.9 -8.8 -2.8
  Feb 29, 2012 305   Cal St. Northridge W 87-76 89%     18 - 8 11 - 4 -2.1 +6.6 -8.6
  Mar 03, 2012 39   Long Beach St. W 77-74 28%     19 - 8 12 - 4 +9.6 +3.8 +5.7
  Mar 08, 2012 241   UC Irvine L 59-65 68%     19 - 9 -10.6 -13.3 +2.5
Projected Record 19.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%